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A NEW RELATIONSHIP: The COVID-19 crisis is the classic example of a ‘butterfly effect’: from the over-exploitation of nature in a Wuhan wild meat market to a global pandemic, this crisis demonstrates the absolute necessity to build the kind of resilience that enables effective, agile responses to sudden system changes.
Should the ocean system collapse, the resultant crisis would be as devastating as the COVID-19 crisis.
In a paper titled "A transition to sustainable ocean governance" describes three key transition pathways for the complex ocean systems to a more sustainable future.
Complex systems are such that small disruptions can have disproportionately large impactful system-wide effects.
Tanya Brodie Rudolph, lead author
Authors of the paper include Tanya Brodie Rudolph and Prof Mark Swilling from the Centre for Complex Systems in Transition at Stellenbosch University, Mary Ruckelshaus from Stanford University’s Natural Capital Project, Edward H. Allison from from WorldFish, Malaysia, and the Nippon Foundation Ocean Nexus Center, Earthlab, University of Washington, Henrik Österblom from the Stockholm Resilience Centre, Stefan Gelcich from Pontificia Universidad Católica de Chile and Philile Mbatha from the University of Cape Town.
The paper describes three key pathways to transition complex ocean systems to a more sustainable future:
“Human wellbeing relies on the biosphere, including natural resources provided by ocean ecosystems. As multiple demands and stressors threaten the ocean, transformative change in ocean governance is required to maintain the contributions of the ocean to people,” co-author and centre researcher Henrik Österblom.
The Nature Communications article is a summary of a blue paper compiled by the authors under the commission of the High Level Panel for Sustainable Ocean Economy, an initiative of 14 serving world leaders building momentum toward a sustainable ocean economy.
Brodie Rudolph, T., Ruckelshaus, M., Swilling, M., Allison, E.H., Österblom, H., Gelcich, S., Mbatha, P. 2020. A transition to sustainable ocean governance. Nat Commun 11, 3600 (2020). https://doi.org/10.1038/s41467-020-17410-2
For more information about the publication, contact co-author Henrik Österblom
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