The risk of a hothouse Earth trajectory

Summary

Earth’s climate is now departing from the stable conditions that supported human civilization for millennia. Crossing critical temperature thresholds may trigger self-reinforcing feedbacks and tipping dynamics that amplify warming and destabilize distant Earth system components. Uncertain tipping thresholds make precaution essential, as crossing them could commit the planet to a hothouse trajectory with long-lasting and potentially irreversible consequences.

Information

Link to centre authors: Rockström, Johan
Publication info: William J. Ripple, Christopher Wolf, Johan Rockström, Katherine Richardson, Nico Wunderling, Jillian W. Gregg, Thomas Westerhold, Hans Joachim Schellnhuber. 2026. The risk of a hothouse Earth trajectory. One Earth. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.oneear.2025.101565

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