Publications

Victor Galaz, Hannah Metzler, Caroline Schill, Therese Lindahl, Stefan Daume, Arvid Marklund, Antonio J. Castro, Jennifer Bard, Timon McPhearson, Diego Galafassi, Helge Peters. 2025. Artificial intelligence, digital social networks, and climate emotions. npj Climate Action. https://doi.org/10.1038/s44168-025-00225-6

Emotions relate to climate change action in various ways. Here we elaborate on how the expansion of digital social networks and advances in artificial intelligence, ranging from recommender systems to generative AI, may affect the way people perceive and engage emotionally on climate change. We develop a simple framework that links individual and collective emotions, AI, and climate action, and suggest three critical areas in ...

Johan Rockström, Jonathan F. Donges, Ingo Fetzer, Maria A. Martin, Lan Wang-Erlandsson, Katherine Richardson. 2025. Publisher Correction: Planetary Boundaries guide humanity’s future on Earth. Nature Reviews Earth & Environment. https://doi.org/10.1038/s43017-025-00696-5

Annika Högner, Giorgia Di Capua, Jonathan F Donges, Reik V Donner, Georg Feulner, Nico Wunderling. 2025. Causal pathway from AMOC to Southern Amazon rainforest indicates stabilising interaction between two climate tipping elements. Environmental Research Letters. https://doi.org/10.1088/1748-9326/addb62

Declines in resilience have been observed in several climate tipping elements over the past decades, including the Atlantic Meridional Overturning Circulation (AMOC) and the Amazon rainforest (AR). Large-scale nonlinear and possibly irreversible changes in system state, such as AMOC weakening or rainforest-savanna transitions in the Amazon basin, would have severe impacts on ecosystems and human societies worldwide. In order t...

Ricarda Winkelmann, Donovan P. Dennis, Jonathan F. Donges, Sina Loriani, Ann Kristin Klose, Jesse F. Abrams, Jorge Alvarez-Solas, Torsten Albrecht, David Armstrong McKay, Sebastian Bathiany, Javier Blasco Navarro, Victor Brovkin, Eleanor Burke, Gokhan Danabasoglu, Reik V. Donner, Markus Drüke, Goran Georgievski, Heiko Goelzer, Anna B. Harper, Gabriele Hegerl, Marina Hirota, Aixue Hu, Laura C. Jackson, Colin Jones, Hyungjun Kim, Torben Koenigk, Peter Lawrence, Timothy M. Lenton, Hannah Liddy, José Licón-Saláiz, Maxence Menthon, Marisa Montoya, Jan Nitzbon, Sophie Nowicki, Bette Otto-Bliesner, Francesco Pausata, Stefan Rahmstorf, Karoline Ramin, Alexander Robinson, Johan Rockström, Anastasia Romanou, Boris Sakschewski, Christina Schädel, Steven Sherwood, Robin S. Smith, Norman J. Steinert, Didier Swingedouw, Matteo Willeit, Wilbert Weijer, Richard Wood, Klaus Wyser, Shuting Yang. 2025. The Tipping Points Modelling Intercomparison Project (TIPMIP): Assessing tipping point risks in the Earth system. EGUsphere. https://doi.org/10.5194/egusphere-2025-1899

The risk of transgressing critical thresholds triggering nonlinear change in the Earth system increases with rising human pressures from greenhouse gas emissions, land-use change and other drivers. Several key components of the Earth System such as the Greenland and Antarctic ice sheets, permafrost, the Atlantic Meridional Overturning Circulation (AMOC), and boreal and tropical forests as well as mountain glaciers, terrestrial...

Vitor Hirata Sanches, Joseph Guillaume, Takuya Iwanaga, Sarah Clement, Steven J. Lade. 2025. Pathway diversity: a resilience metric sensitive to agency applied to a lake eutrophication problem. bioRxiv. https://doi.org/10.1101/2025.06.09.658728

Measuring resilience has been a longstanding challenge in social-ecological research. While there are established resilience metrics, they often do not account for agency, which is crucial in social-ecological systems. Pathway diversity is a recent approach to measuring resilience that integrates systems thinking with individual-based elements, such as agency. According to this approach, resilience is larger if actors have mor...

Melissa Pineda-Pinto, Mick Lennon, Christopher Kennedy, Mairéad O'Donnell, Erik Andersson, Katinka Wijsman, Marcus J. Collier. 2025. Realizing multispecies justice through a capability approach to promote nature-based solutions. npj Urban Sustainability. https://doi.org/10.1038/s42949-025-00205-z

The design and implementation of nature-based solutions (NBS) in cities are often limited by an anthropocentric approach that prioritizes utilitarian goals instead of the diverse needs and abilities of multiple species that would support ecological flourishing. This paper starts from the premise that multispecies justice (MSJ) thinking provides a needed biocentric approach to NBS, and explores how a Capability Approach (CA) ca...

Jens Marquardt, Frederik Pfeiffer, Mareike Blum, Tim M. Daw, Frank Akowuge Dugasseh, Jobst Heitzig, Erik Hysing, Ingrid Helene Brandt Jensen, Katariina Kulha, Frederik Langkjær, Daniel Lindvall, Naghmeh Nasiritousi, David Schlosberg, Arho Toikka, Lars Tønder. 2025. Reconciling democracy and sustainability: three political challenges and the role of democratic innovations. Sustainability: Science, Practice and Policy. https://doi.org/10.1080/15487733.2025.2504239

Governing sustainability challenges such as climate change or biodiversity loss presents a profound democratic dilemma. Although democratic practices and procedures are widely regarded as essential for collectively addressing complex sustainability issues, liberal democracies have been criticized by some scholars for their inability to effectively tackle global environmental threats like climate change. We reconcile these posi...

Yafei Wang, Yuxuan Ye, Robert J. Nicholls, lennart olsson, Detlef van Vuuren, Garry Peterson, HE Yao, Manchun Li, Jie FAN, Murray Scown. 2025. Development policy affects coastal flood exposure in China more than sea-level rise. figshare. https://doi.org/10.6084/m9.figshare.29263130

This repository contains supplementary code and data for manuscript "Development policy affects coastal flood exposure in China more than sea-level rise". Effective coastal exposure assessments are crucial for adaptively managing threats from sea-level rise (SLR). Despite recent advances, global and regional assessments are constrained by omitting critical factors like land-use change, failing to disaggregate potential impacts...

Yafei Wang, HE Yao, Hao Zhou, Jan Kuiper, Murray Scown, Liam Carpenter-Urquhart, Stefan Olin, Yuxuan Ye, Shuwei Shen, Jie FAN, Lennart Olsson, Garry Peterson. 2025. Supplementary data for "Integrating cross-scale sustainability and ecosystem resilience for adaptative scenario planning in China". figshare. https://doi.org/10.6084/m9.figshare.29100239

This repository contains supplementary materials for "Integrating cross-scale sustainability and ecosystem resilience for adaptative scenario planning in China". This repository contains the input data and results for CLUMondo and LPJ-GUESS used in the Huangshui case study. The input data for CLUMondo, including DEM, population, distance to roads, and other relevant datasets, can be found in the 'CLUMondo Input' folder. The r...

Beatrice Crona, Garry Peterson, Megan Meacham, Giorgio Parlato, Steven J. Lade, Juan C. Rocha, Victor Galaz. 2025. A systems approach to sustainable finance: Actors, influence mechanisms, and potentially virtuous cycles of sustainability. iScience. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.isci.2025.112785

Over the past decade, corporate investors have increasingly recognized that responsible environmental and social practices are essential to long-term financial success. Despite growing interest, corporate practices remain largely unchanged, and planetary trends are deeply concerning. This review applies a systems analysis lens to understand how financial sector structures and actors influence sustainability outcomes—often in c...