Publications

Rajat Panwar, Lisa Mandle, Ryo Kohsaka, Mark Johnston, Claudia Romero, Joe Bull, Nicholas Oguge, Beatrice Crona, Kishaylin Chetty, Sharon Chelangat, Daniel Itzamna Avila-Ortega, Sasha Gennet, Habiba Atta. 2026. Business impact on biodiversity. World Biodiversity Forum. https://doi.org/10.5194/wbf2026-581

Understanding how businesses generate, amplify, or mitigate pressures and impacts on biodiversity is essential for enabling transformative change toward the 2050 Vision of “Living in Harmony with Nature.” Drawing on insights from Chapter 3 of the upcoming IPBES Business & Biodiversity Assessment, this contribution synthesises the main aspects, impact types, and pathways through which business activities affect biodiversity dir...

Beatrice Crona, Shruti Kashyap. 2026. Not as different as we think: Bridging accounting and environmental science for enhanced biodiversity reporting quality. World Biodiversity Forum. https://doi.org/10.5194/wbf2026-195

As environmental risks escalate in complexity and urgency—particularly biodiversity loss and ecosystem degradation—they represent systemic threats with profound implications for financial stability, corporate resilience, and long-term economic performance. The European Central Bank underscores this concern, noting that 72% of euro area firms are highly dependent on ecosystem services and face severe disruption if these service...

Kasra Rafiezadeh Shahi, Levke Caesar, Claudio Persello, Johan Rockström, Boris Sakschewski. 2026. Toward actionable planetary boundary intelligence. One Earth. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.oneear.2026.101780

Miriam L. Diamond, Anna Shalin, Lin Boynton, Andrew Hicks, Matthis H. Schäfer, Miguel van der Velden, Shengnan Wang, Lixi Wang, Huadong Xing, Derek C. G. Muir, Albert Norström, Fatima Denton, Johan Rockström, Zhanyun Wang. 2026. Towards safe and just planetary boundaries for novel entities. Nature Sustainability. https://doi.org/10.1038/s41893-026-01906-8

The Planetary Boundaries framework shows that humanity is veering outside the conditions that safeguard the continued health and well-being of society. Setting safe and just limits for novel entities, specifically anthropogenic chemicals and materials, has been difficult because of their sheer number and diverse characteristics, hampering effective management. To inspire future work, we present a conceptual framework comprisin...

Harvey Locke, Johan Rockström, Raina K. Plowright, Dan Laffoley, Leroy Little Bear, Carlos A. Peres, Fuwen Wei, Krithi K. Karanth, Lydia Zemke, Robyn Seetal, F. Richard Hauer. 2026. Nature Positive: halting and reversing biodiversity loss toward restoring Earth system stability. Frontiers in Science. https://doi.org/10.3389/fsci.2026.1609998

Human activities are driving a global decline in biodiversity and are interfering with the natural processes essential for human well-being. Achieving climate and development goals is impossible without keeping nature intact. In this article, we establish the urgent need for a paradigm shift toward a “Nature Positive” (NP) future, where the health and resilience of the Earth system are recognized as the fundamental basis for h...

Rike Mühlhaus, Norman Julius Steinert, Johan Rockström, Nico Wunderling. 2026. Observationally constrained climate sensitivity implies high climate tipping risk. Research Square. https://doi.org/10.21203/rs.3.rs-9105405/v1

Global warming increases the risk of crossing climate tipping points, critical thresholds beyond which large-scale, potentially irreversible Earth system changes can be triggered. A major source of uncertainty in temperature projections is Equilibrium Climate Sensitivity (ECS). ECS measures long-term warming from a doubling of atmospheric CO2. We assess how ECS uncertainty affects tipping risk by feeding temperature projection...

Rike Mühlhaus, Nico Wunderling, Norman Julius Steinert, Johan Rockström. 2026. TIP-ECS. Zenodo. https://doi.org/10.5281/zenodo.20713863

This dataset contains all data used and generated for the study on Climate Sensitivity Impact on Tipping Risk. It includes input data and proceeded results. Related Code is found in the subsequent GitHub repository. Contents: Temperature: Temperature Data Output from FaIR. tcrecs.txt: In FaIR generated TCR-ECS pair ensemble ecs_timeseries: contains rearranged temperature data to be used as a more efficient input into PyCascade...

Da Nian, Matteo Willeit, Nico Wunderling, Andrey Ganopolski, Johan Rockström. 2026. Collapse of the Atlantic meridional overturning circulation would lead to substantial oceanic carbon release and additional global warming. Communications Earth & Environment. https://doi.org/10.1038/s43247-026-03427-w

The potential collapse of the Atlantic Meridional Overturning Circulation could profoundly impact regional and global climates, yet its effects on the carbon cycle and subsequently global temperature remain seriously underexplored. Here we quantify carbon cycle responses across different background global warming levels using a fast Earth system model. We find that Atlantic Meridional Overturning Circulation collapse increases...

Johan Rockström, Amir Kassam, Theodor Friedrich, Don Reicosky, Julian Dumanski, Tom Goddard, Roberto A. Peiretti. 2026. Conservation agriculture: helping to return to within planetary boundaries. Global Sustainability. https://doi.org/10.1017/sus.2025.10045

Agriculture is the single largest cause for transgressing planetary boundaries. A global transformation to sustainable intensification is required in order to hold the windows open for meeting the Paris climate accord of limiting global warming to 1.5°C and the global biodiversity framework of halting loss of biodiversity, while securing food for a growing world population. Conservation Agriculture (CA) offers the only univers...

Theresa Klara Loch, Michael Wohlwend, Orjan Bodin. 2026. Managing species, managing connections: Social‐ecological alignment in state forestry. People and Nature. https://doi.org/10.1002/pan3.70303

1. Forests are shaped not only by ecological processes but also by the actions and interactions of those managing them. In state-managed multifunctional forests, forest district managers play a central role in translating policies into practice. Although their actions are often situated and discretionary, it remains unclear how shared species drive collaboration, and how these interactions relate to perceived management effect...