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Our research is regularly published in top-ranked scientific journals. Search for specific publications below
Journal / article | 2016
Stocker, B.D., S. Zaehle, I.C. Prentice, S.E. Cornell, T. Davies-Barnard, A.C. Finzi, O. Franklin, I. Janssens, T. Larmola, S. Manzoni, T. Näsholm, J.A. Raven, K.T. Rebel, S. Reed, S. Vicca, A. Wiltshire. 2016. Terrestrial nitrogen cycling in Earth system models revisited. New Phytologist 210: 1165 – 1168.
Understanding the degree to which nitrogen (N) availability limits land carbon (C) uptake under global environmental change represents an unresolved challenge. First-generation ‘C-only’ vegetation models, lacking explicit representations of N cycling, projected a substantial and increasing land C sink under rising atmospheric CO2 concentrations. This prediction was questioned for not taking into account the potentially limitin...
Van Holt, T., M.W. Binford, K.M. Portier, R. Vergara. 2016. A stand of trees does not a forest make: Tree plantations and forest transitions. Land Use Policy 56: 147 – 157.
Global afforestation and reforestation incentive programs call for the increase in tree cover, including plantations, which supply global pulp and wood demand, energy, food, and carbon markets. Tree plantations that replace native forests, cultivated agriculture, or previously cleared land are essentially commodity crops, with global market drivers, and do not provide the same ecosystem services as native forests. Nonetheless,...
Wang-Erlandsson, L., W.G.M. Bastiaanssen, H. Gao, J. Jägermeyr, G.B. Senay, A.I.J.M. Van Dijk, J.P. Guerschman, P.W. Keys, L.J. Gordon, H.H.G. Savenije. 2016. Global root zone storage capacity from satellite-based evaporation. Hydrology and Earth System Sciences 20: 1459 – 1481
This study presents an "Earth observation-based" method for estimating root zone storage capacity – a critical, yet uncertain parameter in hydrological and land surface modelling. By assuming that vegetation optimises its root zone storage capacity to bridge critical dry periods, we were able to use state-of-the-art satellite-based evaporation data computed with independent energy balance equations to derive gridded root zone ...
Elmqvist, T., W. Zipperer, B. Güneralp. 2016. Urbanization, habitat loss, biodiversity decline: Solution pathways to break the cycle. In: K.C. Seto, W.D. Solecki, C.A. Griffith (Eds.), The Routledge Handbook of Urbanization and Global Environmental Change. Routledge, Abingdon, Oxon, UK, pp.139 – 151.
The interactions between urbanization with biodiversity and ecosystem services that take place defy simple generalizations. There is increasing evidence for the negative impacts of urbanization on biodiversity, most directly in the form of habitat loss and fragmentation. Recent forecasts suggest that the amount of urban land near protected areas is expected to increase, on average, by more than three times between 2000 and 203...
Falkenmark, M. 2016. Water and human livelihood resilience: a regional-to-global outlook, International Journal of Water Resources Development, DOI: 10.1080/07900627.2016.1190320
This article addresses the need to profoundly expand the way we think about freshwater. Stressing water’s role as the bloodstream of the biosphere, the article highlights water’s functions in sustaining life on the planet (control, state and moisture feedback functions), the role of water partitioning changes in inducing non-linear change at multiple scales, and humanity’s influence on a social-ecological system’s capacity to ...
J.F. Donges, C.-F. Schleussner, J.F. Siegmund, and R.V. Donner. 2016. Event coincidence analysis for quantifying statistical interrelationships between event time series: on the role of flood events as triggers of epidemic outbreaks, European Physical Journal Special Topics, 225(3), 471-487, DOI: 10.1140/epjst/e2015-50233-y
Studying event time series is a powerful approach for analyzing the dynamics of complex dynamical systems in many fields of science. In this paper, we describe the method of event coincidence analysis to provide a framework for quantifying the strength, directionality and time lag of statistical interrelationships between event series. Event coincidence analysis allows to formulate and test null hypotheses on the origin of the...
M. Wiedermann, A. Radebach, J.F. Donges, J. Kurths, and R.V. Donner. 2016. A climate network-based index to discriminate different types of El Niño and La Niña, Geophysical Research Letters 43
El Niño exhibits distinct Eastern Pacific (EP) and Central Pacific (CP) types which are commonly, but not always consistently, distinguished from each other by different signatures in equatorial climate variability. Here we propose an index based on evolving climate networks to objectively discriminate between both flavors by utilizing a scalar-valued measure that quantifies spatial localization and dispersion in global teleco...
Sinare, H., Gordon, L. J., Enfors Kautsky, E. 2016. Assessment of ecosystem services and benefits in village landscapes - a case study from Burkina Faso. Ecosystem Services 21:141-152.
Most methods to assess ecosystem services have been developed on large scales and depend on secondary data. Such data is scarce in rural areas with widespread poverty. Nevertheless, the population in these areas strongly depends on local ecosystem services for their livelihoods. These regions are in focus for substantial landscape investments that aim to alleviate poverty, but current methods fail to capture the vast range of ...
Heck, V., Donges, J. F., and Lucht, W. 2016. Collateral transgression of planetary boundaries due to climate engineering by terrestrial carbon dioxide removal, Earth Syst. Dynam. Discuss., doi:10.5194/esd-2016-22, in review, 2016.
The planetary boundaries framework as proposed by Rockström et al. (2009) provides guidelines for defining thresholds in environmental variables. Their transgression is likely to result in a shift in Earth system functioning away from the relatively stable Holocene state. As the climate change boundary is already transgressed, several climate engineering methods are discussed, aiming at a reduction of atmospheric carbon concen...
Barfuss, W., Donges, J. F., Wiedermann, M., and Lucht, W. 2016. Sustainable use of renewable resources in a stylized social-ecological network model under heterogeneous resource distribution, Earth Syst. Dynam. Discuss., doi:10.5194/esd-2016-15, in review, 2016.
Human societies depend on the resources ecosystems provide. Particularly since the last century, human activities have transformed the relationship between nature and society at a global scale. We study this coevolutionary relationship by utilizing a stylized model of regional resource use and preference formation on an adaptive social network. The latter process is based on two social key dynamics beyond economic paradigms: b...
Stockholm Resilience Centre is a collaboration between Stockholm University and the Beijer Institute of Ecological Economics at the Royal Swedish Academy of Sciences
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