Publications

Victoria Junquera, Maja Schlüter, Juan Rocha, Nico Wunderling, Simon A. Levin, Daniel I. Rubenstein, Jean-Christophe Castella, Patrick Meyfroidt. 2024. Crop booms as regime shifts. Royal Society Open Science. https://doi.org/10.1098/rsos.231571

A crop boom is a sudden, nonlinear and intense expansion of a new crop. Despite their large impacts, boom-bust dynamics are not well understood; booms are largely unpredictable and difficult to steer once they unfold. Based on the striking resemblances between land regime shifts and crop booms, we apply complex systems theory, highlighting the potential for regime shifts, to provide new insights about crop boom dynamics. We an...

Celinda Palm, Celinda Palm, Sarah E. Cornell, Sarah E. Cornell. 2024. Planetary Priorities Rubik's Cube Icon print-sheet. Zenodo. https://doi.org/10.5281/zenodo.12517686

This print-sheet consists of six icon images representing six planetary priorities for sustainable business action, and a short explainer of how to use them. The planetary priorities are the human-driven environmental processes in the planetary boundaries framework that are already beyond the 'safe operating space', where present-day trends are worsening, and where business can already act directly using existing impact asses...

Joyeeta Gupta, Yang Chen, David I.Armstrong Mckay, Paola Fezzigna, Giuliana Gentile, Aljoscha Karg, Luc van Vliet, Steven Lade, Lisa Jacobson. 2024. Applying earth system justice to phase out fossil fuels. International Environmental Agreements: Politics, Law and Economics. Springer Link. https://doi.org/10.1007/s10784-024-09628-y

The Paris Agreement has seen the adoption of a 1.5° to 2 °C climate target, based on the belief that climate change becomes ‘dangerous’ above this level. Since then, the scientific community and the countries most affected by global warming have reiterated that the maximum limit to be reached should be 1.5 °C. This paper goes one step further by questioning the reasoning behind the adoption of these targets, arguing that the f...

Sarah E. Cornell, Sarah E. Cornell, Celinda Palm, Celinda Palm. 2024. How can a Rubik's Cube help you understand the global environmental sustainability challenge? Stockholm Resilience Centre. https://doi.org/10.5281/zenodo.12592469

Harko Verhagen, Corinna Elsenbroich, Nanda Wijermans. 2024. Agent Decision-Making Heterogeneity—Agent (Meta)Frameworks for Agent-Based Modelling. Springer Link. https://doi.org/10.1007/978-3-031-57785-7_48

Agent-based models have continuously increased regarding the implementation of the complexity of agent decision making. This poses questions for the ontological foundation of ABM as well as having implications for research design and data collections. This paper situates the meta-modelling framework CAFCA within other contextual and multidimensional agent-architectures, in particular focusing on its contributions to ontology a...

Francesca Giardini, Melania Borit, Harko Verhagen, Nanda Wijermans. 2024. Modeling Realistic Human Behavior in Disasters. A Rapid Literature Review of Agent-Based Models Reviews. Springer Link. https://doi.org/10.1007/978-3-031-57785-7_13

Agent-based models of human behaviors in emergencies are extremely important in prevention, preparedness, response, and mitigation of crises. However, there is huge variation in the modeling of human cognitions and actions, with varying degrees of realism and even more diverse definitions of how realism should be implemented in the models. The aim of this Rapid Literature Review is to identify existing patterns in modelling re...

Christian Kammler, Frank Dignum, Nanda Wijermans. 2024. Towards a Social Simulation Interaction Tool for Policy Makers—A New Research Agenda to Enable Usage of More Complex Social Simulations. Springer Link. https://doi.org/10.1007/978-3-031-57785-7_14

Social simulations can be a powerful tool for policy makers and other decision makers to support them in their decision making process. To be a powerful tool, it is not only important that the agents in the simulation exhibit realistic–human like—behavior, but also that the simulation is empowering the policy maker to use it in a—for them—meaningful way. To tackle this problem, we require interaction tools and visualization ca...

Erik Andersson, Timon McPhearson, Steward T. A. Pickett. 2024. From urban ecology to urban enquiry: How to build cumulative and context-sensitive understandings. Ambio. https://doi.org/10.1007/s13280-023-01959-5

This paper positions urban ecology as increasingly conversant with multiple perspectives and methods for understanding the functions and qualities of diverse cities and urban situations. Despite progress in the field, we need clear pathways for positioning, connecting and synthesising specific knowledge and to make it speak to more systemic questions about cities and the life within them. These pathways need to be able to make...

Niki Frantzeskaki, Steward T. A. Pickett, Erik Andersson. 2024. Shifts in urban ecology: From science to social project. Ambio. https://doi.org/10.1007/s13280-024-02000-z

Jess Cheok, Julia van Velden, Elizabeth Fulton, Iain Gordon, Ilisapeci Lyons, Garry Peterson, Liz Wren, Rosemary Hill. 2024. Framings in Indigenous futures thinking: barriers, opportunities, and innovations. OSF. https://doi.org/10.31219/osf.io/364xf

Human societies face existential challenges on multiple fronts: climate change, biodiversity loss, altered biogeochemical flows, social unrest and injustices. Innovative solutions are needed to shift current trajectories towards a sustainable and just future. ‘Futures thinking’ enables people to explore and articulate alternative futures and find pathways towards these desired futures. Indigenous people have the potential to m...