Climate change

Climate change is driven by human activities that disrupt Earth's energy balance, primarily through greenhouse gas emissions.

Climate change is disrupting the Earth’s climate system in ways that threaten the foundations of human wellbeing. By burning fossil fuels, clearing forests, and altering the land, humanity is releasing large amounts of greenhouse gases that trap extra heat in the atmosphere. This is pushing the planet beyond its natural limits. As a result, global temperatures are increasing, ice sheets are melting, and weather patterns are becoming more extreme. Sea levels are rising, and ecosystems are under stress.

These changes increase the risk of crossing dangerous tipping points – irreversible shifts in Earth’s systems that could lock in long-term damage. Communities around the world are already experiencing more heatwaves, droughts, floods, and storms. Without urgent action, continued climate disruption risks triggering irreversible changes in Earth’s systems, undermining ecosystems, human health, and societal stability for generations to come.

Control Variables

In the Planetary Boundaries Framework, Climate Change is measured using two variables: The concentration of CO₂ in the atmosphere, and the extra amount of the sun’s heat that is trapped because of human activities. Both variables have exceeded their safe thresholds.

Impacts

As more heat is trapped in the Earth system, temperatures rise in the atmosphere, oceans, and on land. This leads to more extreme weather, including heatwaves, floods, droughts, and heavy rainfall. Human-driven climate change now far exceeds natural variability.

Because climate change strongly influences all other Planetary Boundaries, crossing this threshold puts the entire Earth system at risk. Staying beyond the safe zone increases the chance of irreversible changes that could affect life on Earth for generations to come.

Current state
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The boundary has been crossed for both control variables.

The nine planetary boundaries

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This text is a summary of the latest Planetary Health Check.

More info about this boundary, its key drivers and details of how the control variables are measured can be found on www.planetaryhealthcheck.org

The latest peer-reviewed update to all planetary boundaries was published in in Science Advances in 2023.

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