Planetary boundaries under a land-based climate change mitigation scenario with a food demand transformation: a modelling study

Summary

Ambitious climate change mitigation in all economic sectors is crucial for limiting global warming. Cost-effective mitigation pathways to keep global average temperature increases below 1·5°C by the end of the 21st century often rely on land-based greenhouse gas (GHG) emission reductions, increased land-based carbon uptake and biomass supply to other sectors (eg, energy and transport), and demand-side changes in the food system. To evaluate the broader sustainability of land-based climate change mitigation action, we evaluated synergies and trade-offs of individual and combined supply-side mitigation measures across five planetary boundaries. We also examined the role of a food demand transformation aligned with the dietary recommendations of the updated planetary health diet defined in the forthcoming EAT–Lancet Commission 2.0 report in shaping planetary boundary outcomes.

Information

Link to centre authors: Rockström, Johan
Publication info: Felicitas D Beier, Jan Philipp Dietrich, Jens Heinke, Gabriel Abrahao, Patrick von Jeetze, Benjamin Leon Bodirsky, Michael Crawford, Florian Humpenöder, Leon Merfort, Isabelle Weindl, Mario Herrero, Daniel Mason-D’Croz, Johan Rockström, Marina Sundiang, Sofie te Wierik, Anna Norberg, David Klein, Christoph Müller, Hermann Lotze-Campen, Alexander Popp. 2025. Planetary boundaries under a land-based climate change mitigation scenario with a food demand transformation: a modelling study. The Lancet Planetary Health. https://doi.org/10.1016/s2542-5196(25)00087-7

News & events