Operationalizing the Nature Futures Framework to catalyze the development of nature-future scenarios
Scenarios and models are powerful tools for exploring the likely future outcomes of alternative social-ecological development pathways and for informing policy decisions. However, one of the key messages made by the Methodological Assessment of Scenarios and Models by the Intergovernmental Platform on Biodiversity and Ecosystem Services (IPBES) was that existing scenarios of biodiversity and ecosystem services have important shortcomings and gaps that constrain their usefulness for halting the dangerously declining trend of nature and Nature’s Contributions to People (NCP) (IPBES 2016b). Specifically, most of the existing scenarios and related analyses, especially at global and regional scales, are limited to assessing the impacts of drivers on a few facets of nature and NCP, often failing to address their linkages or feedbacks, to consider multiple spatial scales, or to incorporate policy objectives related to nature conservation (IPBES 2016b, 2019). Besides, they have limitations in their ability to incorporate shared values, norms, and policy objectives related to nature conservation and good quality of life (IPBES 2016a). Most importantly, the existing approaches often emphasize negative trends and drivers, rather than identifying desirable futures for nature and people with multiple alternative pathways to reach there.
Research news | 2022-11-25
Successes and shortfalls: reflections on COP27
In the wake of COP27, we gather reflections from centre staff who were involved on the ground.
Research news | 2022-11-25
Access to greenery and water goes hand in hand with human wellbeing during the pandemic
Green wedges and large nature areas are especially important for the young, elderly and unemployed, a new comparative study finds.
Research news | 2022-11-22
Fair access to water is a subjective issue in post-drought Cape Town
Who should pay for and benefit from water services? It depends on who you ask, finds a study that revisited Cape Town after its 2015-2018 water crisis
General news | 2022-11-15
Centre researchers listed among the world's most influential scientists
Carl Folke, Johan Rockström, Thomas Elmqvist, Per Olsson, Max Troell and Jonathan Donges ranked as some of the globally most cited researchers
Research news | 2022-11-14
In data scarce regions, fieldwork and historical images help researchers fill in the gaps
Researchers combined current data with historical images and inputs from previous studies to estimate how ecosystem services have changed over time in northern Burkina Faso
Research news | 2022-11-10
Fair global redistribution of resources is key for planetary stability
Redistributing resources and transforming society are necessary to ensure universal access to basic needs while staying within Earth’s limits