Scenarios for Global Biodiversity in the 21st Century
Quantitative scenarios are coming of age as a tool for evaluating the impact of future socioeconomic development pathways on biodiversity and ecosystem services.
We analyze global terrestrial, freshwater, and marine biodiversity scenarios using a range of measures including extinctions, changes in species abundance, habitat loss, and distribution shifts, as well as comparing model projections to observations. Scenarios consistently indicate that biodiversity will continue to decline over the 21st century.
However, the range of projected changes is much broader than most studies suggest, partly because there are major opportunities to intervene through better policies, but also because of large uncertainties in projections.
Research news | 2022-10-05
Centre strengthens its food system research with five new postdocs
Amid ongoing global food crises, the Stockholm Resilience Centre adds to its portfolio of food system research by hiring five new postdoctoral fellows
Research news | 2022-09-29
Recent graduates reflect on what it’s like to do a master’s at the centre
Straight from their final presentations, MSc graduates Bérénice Robaglia and Nora Giertz share insights into their master thesis projects, time at the centre and future plans.
Research news | 2022-09-28
To curb biodiversity loss, development cooperation needs a rethink
Working paper highlights the need for development cooperation to adopt complexity-aware theories of change
Research news | 2022-09-23
Civil society could be the gamechanger for climate policymaking
To make climate policies fair and effective we need to harness the power of civil society, argues centre researcher Thomas Hahn
Research news | 2022-09-19
Turning food by-products into fodder could feed a billion people
Using waste from food production to feed livestock and aquaculture could help feed more people with less
Research news | 2022-09-13
Mutual interests and benefits are no guarantee for increased collaboration
Awareness of interdependencies may not promote, but instead even inhibit, exchange and dialogue between different policy actors