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Journal / article
Randers, Jorgen, Johan Rockström, Per E. Stoknes, Ulrich Goluke, David Collste, and Sarah Cornell. 2018. “Achieving the 17 Sustainable Development Goals Within 9 Planetary Boundaries.” EarthArXiv. October 16. doi:10.31223/osf.io/xwevb
We have built a simulation model (Earth3) to help answer two research questions: How many of the 17 UN sustainable development goals (SDGs) will be achieved by 2030? And: What will be the resulting pressure on 9 planetary boundaries (PBs)? Our tentative answer is that he world will not reach all SDGs by 2030, nor by 2050, and that the global safety margin (the buffer between the human impact and planetary boundaries) will cont...
D. Collste, J. Randers, U. Goluke, P.-E. Stoknes, S.E. Cornell, and J. Rockström. 2018. The Empirical Bases for the Earth3 Model: Technical Notes on the Sustainable Development Goals and Planetary Boundaries. EarthArXiv https://eartharxiv.org/ephsf/
Transformation is feasible - How to achieve the SustainableDevelopment Goals within Planetary Boundaries. 2018. Written by Randers, J., Rockström, J., Stoknes, P.E., Golüke, U., Collste, D., Cornell, S. A report to the Club of Rome from Stockholm Resilience Centre and BI Norwegian Business School
The dual adoption of the UN Sustainable Development Goals (SDGs) together with the Paris Climate Agreement, both in 2015, represents a global turning point. We have never before had such a universal development plan for people and planet. For the first time in human history the world has agreed on a democratically adopted roadmap for humanity’s future, which aims at attaining socially inclusive and highly aspirational socio-e...
Mace, G. M., Barrett, M. Burgess, N. D., Cornell, S.E., Freeman, R., Grooten, M., Purvis, A. 2018. Aiming higher to bend the curve of biodiversity loss. Nature Sustainability DOI: 10.1038/s41893-018-0130-0
Häyhä, T., Cornell, S.E., Hoff, H., Lucas, P., van Vuuren, D., 2018. Operationalizing the concept of a safe operating space at the EU level – first steps and explorations. Stockholm Resilience Centre Technical Report, prepared in collaboration with Stockholm Environment Institute (SEI) and PBL Netherlands Environmental Assessment Agency. Stockholm Resilience Centre, Stockholm University, Sweden.
This study has made an initial disaggregation, allocation and benchmarking analysis to the EU-28 level, for the planetary boundaries for climate change, biosphere integrity, land systems change, freshwater use, biogeochemical flows (nitrogen and phosphorus), and novel entities (chemical pollution). The following overarching insights relate to all PBs: Based on equal-per capita allocation of the global safe operating space, ...
Ahlstrom, H., S.E. Cornell. 2018. Governance, polycentricity and the global nitrogen and phosphorus cycles. Environmental Science & Policy doi:10.1016/j.envsci.2017.10.005.
Global change and governance scholars frequently highlight polycentricity as a feature of resilient governance, but both theoretical and empirical knowledge about features and outcomes of the concept are lacking at the global scale. Here we investigate the structural properties of governance of global nitrogen (N) and phosphorus (P) cycles, two processes in the ‘planetary boundaries’ framework. We have used a mixed-methods app...
Lade, S. J., Donges, J. F., Fetzer, I., Anderies, J. M., Beer, C., Cornell, S. E., Gasser, T., Norberg, J., Richardson, K., Rockström, J., and Steffen, W. 2018. Analytically tractable climate–carbon cycle feedbacks under 21st century anthropogenic forcing, Earth Syst. Dynam., 9, 507-523, https://doi.org/10.5194/esd-9-507-2018, 2018.
Changes to climate–carbon cycle feedbacks may significantly affect the Earth system’s response to greenhouse gas emissions. These feedbacks are usually analysed from numerical output of complex and arguably opaque Earth system models. Here, we construct a stylised global climate–carbon cycle model, test its output against comprehensive Earth system models, and investigate the strengths of its climate–carbon cycle feedbacks ...
Journal / article
Collste, D., Pedercini, M., Cornell, S. 2017. Policy coherence to achieve the SDGs: using integrated simulation models to assess effective policies. Sustain Sci DOI 10.1007/s11625-017-0457-x
Coherently addressing the 17 Sustainable Development Goals requires planning tools that guide policy makers. Given the integrative nature of the SDGs, we believe that integrative modelling techniques are especially useful for this purpose. In this paper, we present and demonstrate the use of the new System Dynamics based iSDG family of models. We use a national model for Tanzania to analyse impacts of substantial investments i...
Policy brief or report
Hoff, H., Häyhä, T., Cornell, S., Lucas, P. 2017. Bringing EU policy into line with the Planetary Boundaries. Stockholm Environment Institute (SEI) Discussion Brief. Stockholm, Sweden. https://www.sei-international.org/publications?pid=3128
Villarubia-Gomez, P., Cornell, S., Fabres, J. 2017. Marine plastic pollution as a planetary boundary threat – The drifting piece in the sustainability puzzle. Marine Policy, DOI: 10.1016/j.marpol.2017.11.035
The exponential increase in the use of plastic in modern society and the inadequate management of the resulting waste have led to its accumulation in the marine environment. There is increasing evidence of numerous mechanisms by which marine plastic pollution is causing effects across successive levels of biological organization. This will unavoidably impact ecological communities and ecosystem functions. A remaining question ...
Stockholm Resilience Centre is a collaboration between Stockholm University and the Beijer Institute of Ecological Economics at the Royal Swedish Academy of Sciences
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