Publications

Yafei WANG, Yao HE, Hao ZHOU, Garry Peterson, Jan Kuiper, Liam R Carpenter-Urquhart, Stefan Olin, Yuxuan YE, Shuwei SHEN, Jie Fan, Lennart Olsson, Murray Scown. 2024. Integrating cross-scale sustainability and ecosystem resilience for adaptative scenario planning in China. ESS Open Archive. https://doi.org/10.22541/essoar.173499112.24070386/v1

Climate change calls for adaptive strategies to manage landscapes across governance levels, as differing policy frameworks distinctly shape landscape patterns and long-term ecosystem resilience. This study presents a novel adaptive framework that integrates planning objectives, landscape patterns, and ecosystem resilience through iterative feedback loops. The framework aims to achieve the desired scenario, SUS-RES, which balan...

Johan Rockström, Jonathan F. Donges, Ingo Fetzer, Maria A. Martin, Lan Wang-Erlandsson, Katherine Richardson. 2024. Planetary Boundaries guide humanity’s future on Earth. Nature Reviews Earth & Environment. https://doi.org/10.1038/s43017-024-00597-z

Human pressures have pushed the Earth system deep into the Anthropocene, threatening its stability, resilience and functioning. The Planetary Boundaries (PB) framework emerged against these threats, setting safe levels to the biophysical systems and processes that, with high likelihood, ensure life-supporting Holocene-like conditions. In this Review, we synthesize PB advancements, detailing its emergence and mainstreaming acro...

Peter Søgaard Jørgensen, Raf Jansen, Daniel Avila Ortega, Lan Wang-Erlandsson, Jonathan F. Donges, Henrik Österblom, Per Olsson, Magnus Nyström, Steve Lade, Thomas Hahn, Carl Folke, Garry Peterson, Anne-Sophie Crepin. 2024. Evolution of the polycrisis: Anthropocene traps that challenge global sustainability. EGU. https://doi.org/10.5194/egusphere-egu24-21005

The Anthropocene is characterized by accelerating change and global challenges of increasing complexity and most recently by what some have called a polycrisis. Based on an adaptation of the evolutionary traps concept to a global human context, we explore whether the human trajectory of increasing complexity and influence on the Earth system could become a form of Anthropocene trap for humanity. We identify 14 Anthropocene tra...

Victor Galaz, David Collste. 2023. Finance for Resilience of People and Planet. Reflecting on 50 years after the Stockholm Conference in 1972. Resilience of people and ecosystems under climate stress. The Pontifical Academy of Sciences.

Fifty years might not seem long in the history of planet Earth, but the last 50 years have had profound implications for the climate system, natural systems and all life on Earth. The year 2022 marks the 50th Anniversaries of the historic 1972 United Nations Conference on the Human Environment, and the beginning of multilateral collaboration on environmental and sustainability challenges. Financial pledges to support developin...

Johannah Bernstein, David Collste, Sandrine Dixson-Declève, Nathalie Spittler. 2023. SDGs for All: Strategic Scenarios. Earth4All System Dynamics Modelling of SDG Progress. The Foundation for European Progressive Studies and Earth4All.

The report examines SDG progress in the light of Earth4All’s five extraordinary turnarounds – poverty, inequality, empowerment, food and energy – and against the scenarios that lie at the core of the Earth4All model: Too Little Too Late, where societies maintain the types of economic policies that have been in place for decades, and the Giant Leap, a scenario where societies make ambitious decisions and investments today which...